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Welcome to week 11 of the 2021-2022 NFL Season. If this is the first time reading one of my articles, welcome to my weekly picks blog! Each week I will give you guys’ predictions for every game in the NFL that week. I will be giving predictions in three ways: Straight up (Picking the winner of the game), ATS (Against the Spread), and Over/Under the total game. Then, I will give my three best bets every week in more in-depth, and those will only be ATS; one of them will be my Greene Guarantee of the week. So without further ado, let’s get into it! (All lines presented by DraftKings)

Best Bets for Week 11

We were so close to another 3-0 sweep on the slate. The Packers won with ease, and they even shut out the Seahawks. The Chiefs did precisely what I said they would do, they dominated that game from start to finish, and they look like the Chiefs of old. Sadly, the Rams could not get the job done. I blame two things; The public for 88% of bets being on the Rams, and I blame QB killer Odell Beckham Jr. Matt Stafford was having an MVP-type season, and this clown shows up all of a sudden Stafford was playing like he was still on the Lions. Still, we are 5-1 in our last two weeks, so let us keep the momentum going, and here are my three best bets for week 11 of the NFL season.

Best bet record this year: 16-14

1. Bengals (-1) vs. Raiders

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It is once again that time of the year in the NFL season. Time to start fading the Las Vegas Raiders. This is not the first time we have seen Vegas get off to such a good start and then fade out and not make the playoffs. I faded them last week at home vs. the Chiefs, and I am again fading them at home, this time vs. the Bengals. Let’s start that the Bengals, to me, are a much better team all-around than the Raiders. In my opinion, They have the better offense (this is, of course, because the Raiders do not have Henry Ruggs anymore), and they are more talented on defense with more playmakers. I’ll give you the edge as Derek Carr is better than Joe Burrow but, Burrow has better weapons and a better Head Coach in Zac Taylor. The Raiders have also struggled to score as of late as they are averaging 15 points per game over the last two games. Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in their previous five games following a loss, while the over is 14-6-1 in their previous 21 games against the AFC. In their last seven games overall, Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS, while the over is 11-0-1 in their previous 12 games as a home underdog.

Usually, I would like the Raiders in a potential bounce-back spot. Yet, the Bengals are coming off a bye and have too many weapons for this Raiders secondary. Bengals win in a high-scoring affair.

Bengals 30 Raiders 24 

2.Eagles(-1) vs. Saints

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I always try not to put my team in the Eagles on the best bets list, but I love them this weekend vs. the Saints. I understand that the Saints just went on the road and almost won at Tennesse. However, I don’t think Trevor Sieman can keep up his decent level of play.  The Eagles, on the other hand, are hitting their stride at just the right time. The whole 1st half of the season, Eagles fans like myself were pleading for them to run the football. Well, now the eagles are 3rd in the NFL in rushing and have over 600 yards over the past three games. They are controlling tempo, and Jalen Hurts doing his best Russell Wilson impression and keeping a ton of plays alive with his legs. The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six in November and 4-1 ATS in their previous five in Week 11. New Orleans is 36-15 ATS in the last 51 road games. Meanwhile, the Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus the NFC and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite. Philly is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after an ATS win. The Eagles are 0-4 at home this season. I’m sorry, I just can not see them being 0-5. The Linc is going to be rocking! Eagles fly away with a victory.

Eagles 21 Saints 17 

3. Seahawks (+3) vs. Cardinals (PJ’s Guarantee)

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Speaking of Russell Wilson, he and the Seahawks looked atrocious in their game last week vs. the Packers. Yet, now it is sink or swim time for this team. With a record of 3-6, if they lose this week, the playoffs are completely out of the question, especially in the division, they play in. I also don’t think Kyler Murray plays. The Cardinals have a bye week next week, and they have a comfortable lead in the NFC West and win all tiebreakers vs. the Rams. Two extra weeks to make sure Kyler comes back 100% healthy is the smart move, and the same goes with WR Deandre Hopkins. The Cardinals are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games. The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in November and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11. The under is 10-3 in Cardinal’s last 13 road games. The under is 15-3 in Seahawk’s last 18 games overall. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Seattle and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings. I just can’t imagine an NFL playoff race not having Russell Wilson involved. This will be a classic tight division game, and I think Seattle pulls off the upset at home.

Seahawks 24 Cardinals 20

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Jason is 5-5 on his “Guarantees” this season
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