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Welcome to week 6 of the 2022-2023 NFL Season. If this is the first time reading one of my articles, welcome to my weekly picks blog! I will give you guys’ predictions for every game in the NFL each week. First, First, First, I will provide predictions in three ways: Straight up (Picking the game’s winner), ATS (Against the Spread), and Over/Under of the total. Then, I will give my three best bets every week in more in-depth, and those will only be ATS; one of them will be my Greene Guarantee of the week. Last Year I had a pretty successful season, so without further ado, let’s get into it!

 Best Bets for Week 6

Best Bet record so far this year-8-7

Well, the gambling gods finally got back at me as I went 1-2 last week. The system play of taking the Steelers as a road dog got chalked up early when I saw they gave up a 99 YARD TOUCHDOWN to Gabriel Davis! The Saints came through for me, but not as I expected. Geno Smith might just be that guy cause he was cooking, yet the Saints still prevailed and covered. Lastly, Greene’s Guarantee never had a pulse as the Rams gave up a fumble for a touchdown on their first drive of the game and then got their punt blocked on their second. I felt I was right about that game, as Cooper Rush couldn’t move the ball as I predicted. Yet, that’s just how gambling goes sometimes. So, I must move on! It’s time for a bounce-back week, so without further ado, let’s get into my week six best bets. 

 

1. Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

Kyler Murray GIFs | Tenor

This, to me, is a guts game. The Cardinals took a tough loss at home in a game they probably should’ve pulled out vs. the undefeated Eagles. Now they sit at 2-3, and they are against a Seahawks team that is just happy to have any wins. Matt Rhule was just let go for the Panthers, and many people that closely follow the NFL think Kliff Kingsbury could be next. This will be one of the few times I give no statistical background to this pick; this is simply a show-me game. Can the Cardinals prove to the NFL that they are legit and beat a worse team on the road, or will they fall to 2-4, and jobs will be on the line? I get the better QB and defense in this matchup, and I understand I faded Geno Smith last week, saying he wouldn’t cook on the road, and I am going to bank on him not doing it again. The Cardinals get a huge road divisional win, saving their season.

Cardinals 30 Seahawks 24

 

2. New Orleans Saints (+2) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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The Saints got us there last week, and once again, I like them in this spot. The Bengals have struggled out the gate with a super-bowl runner-up hangover as they have started the season 2-3. The Saints are also 2-3, but to me, they have looked much better over the last two weeks with Andy Dalton at QB plus mixing in TE4 in fantasy football Taysom Hill in the wildcat. Unfortunately, their defense hasn’t come around for the Saints yet; most thought this team would be a top 10 defensive unit and is ranked 24th in the NFL, giving up 25.8 points per game. Yet the Bengal’s defense has over-performed this year, and somehow this line is even. Trap game! 89% of the bets and 80% of the money are on the Bengals -2.

Other stats are The Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 11-2 ATS in their previous 13 games overall. The Saints are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 games in October and 4-0 ATS in their previous four games in Week 6. The under is 10-1 in the Bengal’s previous 11 games overall. The under is 5-2 in the Saint’s last seven home games. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their previous five meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. So far, I am 0-1 in calling out trap games this season, but I like this spot for the Saint’s defense to shine and finally come out with the win.

Saints 23 Bengals 20 

 

3. Indianapolis Colts (-2) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (Greene’s Guarantee)

Indianapolis Colts GIFs - Get the best GIF on GIPHY

The Colts have been one of the most disappointing NFL teams this season, yet they are 2-2-1. The Jaguars are being talked about how much they have over-achieved and how well Doug Pederson has shaped this team, and they are sitting at 2-3. This, to me, is a no-brainer. The Colts should dominate this game on Sunday. While Colt’s offense has been virtually nonexistent the entire season, their defense has been spectacular. They are top 10 in the NFL in points per game (18.8), yards per game (312.6), and rush yards per game (96.6). The issue has been the turnovers; they have 11 turnovers this season which ranks third worst in the NFL, and only five takeaways. The Jaguars have also had turnover issues, as they have eight on the season, and with such a pivotal division game, I expect the more veteran group to take control. The Jaguars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 October games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 overall. Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in their last five in week six.

Meanwhile, the Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last seven in October and 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. Indianapolis is 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five in week six. The Jaguars have dominated the Colts lately, which was why they missed the playoffs last season. I expect a motivated Colts team to make a statement; I guarantee it!

Colts 24 Jaguars 16

 

Best Sudisfaction Guarantee GIFs | Gfycat
Jason is 2-3 on his “Guarantees” this season

 

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