Russell Wilson and the Broncos have parted ways, ending one of the worst-for-both-sides player-team relationships in the NFL. 

The Broncos wanted to rid themselves of Wilson so much that they’re willing to chew, swallow, and digest more than $85 million in dead-cap money over the next two seasons. Lucky for the team, the NFL salary cap will be a record $255.4 million in 2024.

Wilson is guaranteed $39 million from Denver this season. The Broncos would have been on the hook for another $37 million for 2025 if he was on the team roster on March 13.

There are at least a dozen teams in the NFL that could use QB help. Wilson has a Super Bowl ring he earned with the Seahawks. But his time in Denver after signing his $242.6 million deal in 2022 has been disastrous.

Wilson’s skills as a passer and team leader have been called into question, given how poorly he played and how his teammates became disaffect with his style. Senior Betting Analyst Bill Speros covered the NFL as an editor and writer for more than 35 years. Here are his NFL futures odds as to where Wilson will be playing next season.

Russell Wilson Next Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Atlanta Falcons+35022.2%
Chicago Bears+40020%
Las Vegas Raiders+50016.7%
Minnesota Vikings+60014.5%
New England Patriots+75011.8%
Miami Dolphins+90010%
Pittsburgh Steelers+12007.7%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+15006.3%
The Field+80011.1%

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the team. It is not currently available on betting appsPercentages will not add up to 100% most of the time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Russell Wilson Next Team Options

Wilson is 35, which is the new 30 in the NFL these days for quarterbacks. His pedigree should solicit some interest in the free-agency market. Wilson could walk away from the league, given the bag he got from the Broncos. That’s unlikely. Wilson can sign for the league minimum for one year, given that the Broncos are paying the bulk of his salary for this season.

Wilson would like to go to a winner – who doesn’t – but most top-tier teams are set at QB. 

Wilson could bide his time and wait for an injury this upcoming season (see: Aaron Rodgers or Joe Burrow) to find a team with high expectations.

The Atlanta Falcons need a quality, reliable starting QB. The Falcons have loaded up on offensive skill positions. They tried to make at run at the playoffs in the still-soft NFC South but were unable to get over the hump or .500 with Desmond Ridder at QB.

Photo: ClutchPoints/X

Atlanta holds the No. 8 pick. They could trade-up with New England to get to No 3. (see: Jayden Daniels), grab a second-tier QB J.J. McCarthy in the first round, or take a shot at  Michael Penix in Round 2.

If Wilson is able to cook without any of the off-the-field downside that manifested itself in Denver, he could turn the Falcons into an NFC South contender – given that the division remains up-for-grabs in the post-Tom Brady world.

The Bears hold the No. 1 overall pick, thanks to their swindle/trade with the Panthers last season. Given the Bears’ woeful history at the QB position, Justin Fields appears poised to be their best QB of the 21st century if he’s able to continue the upward trend he began this past season. If the Bears hold the top pick and take a Caleb Williams, they could deal Fields for some serious draft capital and bring in Wilson as the elder statesman/bridge QB/backup.

The Raiders are where mediocre quarterbacks go to die. Perhaps Wilson could be the outlier and find redemption in Sin City. There’s a first time for everything. Wilson would get two cracks a year at the Broncos in the AFC West.

The Vikings present an interesting option on two fronts. For one, Kirk Cousins may be the most coveted free-agent veteran QB, assuming Baker Mayfield is staying in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers agreed to a long-term deal with WR Mike Evans. It’s nearly impossible to think Evans would have agreed to stay in Tampa Bay without clarity at the QB spot.

If Cousins finds a landing spot outside Minnesota, the “Good” Wilson could prove to be a near-seamless replacement. On his best days, the possibility of Wilson playing catch with WR Justin Jefferson would be the stuff of Fantasy Football and NFL Red Zone dreams.

The Patriots, like the Falcons, are looking to start from the ground up at QB. All signs from the combine and elsewhere point to the Patriots drafting a QB at No. 3 and dumping Mac Jones for a bag of balls and air-pressure gauges. New England would need a reliable veteran backup to its potential pick at No. 3 (Daniels). The “Good” Wilson could fill that role and help the Patriots’ inexperienced coaching staff in the post-Bill Belichick Era.

The “Bad” Wilson, not so much

Photo: ClutchPoints/X

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